Bowditch, Thompson share lead in Nebraska

Golf Betting Lines

07/29/2010 - Omaha, NE (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Steven Bowditch and Kyle Thompson fired rounds of eight-under 63 Thursday to share the lead after one round of the Cox Classic.

Bowditch claimed his lone tour win in his homeland of Australia at the 2005 Jacob's Creek Open, while Thompson won twice during the 2007 season.

Scott Gardiner, Kevin Chappell and Matt Marshall share third place at minus- seven.

Chris Kirk, who stands third on the Nationwide Tour money list, opened with a six-under 65 and is tied for sixth at Champions Run.

Bowditch parred his first five holes, then birdied the sixth. He gave that stroke right back with a bogey on the seventh. Bowditch caught fire from there.

The Australian birdied the eighth and ninth to turn in two-under. After a birdie on the 11th, Bowditch reeled off back-to-back birdies from the 13th to move to five-under.

Bowditch birdied the 16th and followed with birdies on 17 and 18 to be the first in the clubhouse at minus-eight and to match his career-low round on the Nationwide Tour.

"To be honest, I played the best I've played in the last four or five years last week, I just couldn't get the putts in," said Bowditch, who tied for 17th last week at the Nationwide Children's Hospital Invitational. "It wasn't so much about making the putts, but I was missing the momentum putts as well."

Thompson started on the back nine Friday and opened with a birdie on the par- five 10th. He parred his next five holes before posting birdies on the 16th and 17th.

After four consecutive pars around the turn, Thompson poured in four straight birdie efforts from the fourth to move within one of Bowditch's lead. Thompson grabbed a share of the lead with a birdie on the par-four ninth, his last.

"I never thought this course was that easy and every year guys are shooting 59s and 60s and here I am shooting two- or three-under and feeling like I played okay," stated Bowditch, who missed the cut in five of his first six starts this year.

"It's just fun again. I've struggled on this course in the past, so to play like this today was a lot of fun."

Kirk was joined in sixth at minus-six by Brandt Jobe, Hunter Haas, Ewan Porter, Aaron Watkins, Berry Henson, Ray Beaufils and amateur Morgan Hoffmann, who tied for ninth last week.

NOTES: Bowditch last fired a 63 in the final round of the 2005 New Zealand PGA Championship...Last week's winner, D.J. Brigman, struggled to a one-over 72 that left him tied for 121st...Also at plus-one is leading money winner Jamie Lovemark.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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